AFC Champions League
Oct 3, 2023 11.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Sungui Arena Park
  • Stefan Mugosa 6' goal
  • Stefan Mugosa 19' goal
  • Hernandes 36' goal
  • Paul-Jose M'Poku 74' goal

Incheon United vs Kaya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Incheon United

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 11.00am
Yokohama 2 - 4 Incheon United

Kaya

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 1.00pm
Kaya 1 - 3 Shandong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaya win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kaya win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Incheon United 28.64% (+0.41)
Draw 23.49% (-0.33)
Kaya 47.86% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.95% (+1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.56% (+1.78)
Under 2.5 41.44% (-1.77)
Over 3.5 36.16% (+1.77)
Under 3.5 63.84% (-1.77)
Over 4.5 19.14% (+1.33)
Under 4.5 80.86% (-1.33)

Incheon United Goals

Over 0.5 72.7% (+1.20)
Under 0.5 27.3% (-1.20)
Over 1.5 37.26% (+1.53)
Under 1.5 62.74% (-1.52)

Kaya Goals

Over 0.5 82.47% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 17.53% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 51.94% (+1.12)
Under 1.5 48.06% (-1.12)

Score analysis

Incheon United 28.64%
Draw 23.48%
Kaya 47.86%
Incheon United
2-1 @ 7.02% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.21% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.04% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 1.75% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 28.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.27)
2-2 @ 6.11% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.40)
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.48%
Kaya
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.50)
0-2 @ 7.26% (-0.28)
1-3 @ 5.47% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 4.21% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.55% (+0.18)
1-4 @ 2.38% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.55% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 47.86%