Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaya win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaya win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.