Chinese Super League | Gameweek 28
Oct 20, 2023 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
0 - 3
Shandong


Yan (37'), Mincheng (49')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Crysan (27'), Moises (37' pen.), Chen (45+4')
Ke (62'), Pato (65'), Zheng (79')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Shandong Taishan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Shenzhen 0-1 Changchun
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shandong 0-1 Yokohama
Tuesday, October 3 at 1pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
13.69% (0.074 0.07)19.72% (0.047999999999998 0.05)66.59% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.44% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)44.56% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.93% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.082000000000001 0.08)44.04% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (0.07 0.07)80.16% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)12.47% (0.048 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)38.43% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 13.69%
    Shandong Taishan 66.58%
    Draw 19.72%
Changchun YataiDrawShandong Taishan
1-0 @ 4.5% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 3.84% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.85% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.69%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 19.72%
0-2 @ 11.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.77% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 66.58%

Head to Head
Jun 29, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 13
Shandong
4-1
Changchun
Crysan (5'), Binbin (12'), Chen (61'), Fernandinho (86')
Tong (65')
Okore (84')
> Preview
Jul 6, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Changchun
1-2
Shandong
Negrao (19')
Liao (45'), Pengfei (52')
Crysan (15'), Chen (87')
Crysan (30'), Jin (77')
> Preview
Jun 16, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Shandong
4-0
Changchun
Liu (38' og.), Jin (55'), Moises (57', 77')
Jin (50')

Negrao (25')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 7.30am
Gameweek 22
Changchun
1-1
Shandong
Li (26')
Okore (30')
Delgado (67')
Wang (82')
Dec 22, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 18
Shandong
2-1
Changchun
Delgado (78'), Guo (90+1')
Moises (21'), Jadson (29')
Lima (51')
Li (21'), Tudi (26'), Lima (35'), Qi (44')