Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-3 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.