Chinese Super League | Gameweek 21

Aug 8, 2023 at 12.35pm UK

Huitang Stadium

Meizhou Hakka
4 - 2
Changchun

Henrique (1'), Nam Yue (40'), Conraad (78'), Kotnik (90+3')
Jie (22'), Conraad (55'), Yang (65')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Zulj (45+4'), Zhang (90')
Tian (43'), Zulj (57'), Zhang (85'), Zhang (85+85')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Meizhou Hakka and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Meizhou Hakka

All competitions

Last Game: Shandong 6-1 Meizhou Hakka
Friday, August 4 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Friday, August 4 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Changchun Yatai
38.83% ( 0.03)	25.37% ( 0.02)	35.81% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.38% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6% (

-0.12)

47.4% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

-0.11)

69.62% (

0.11)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.92% (

-0.04)

24.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63% (

-0.06)

58.37% (

0.06)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

-0.09)

25.74% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33% (

-0.12)

60.67% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 38.83%

Changchun Yatai 35.81%

Draw 25.36%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Changchun Yatai
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.83%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.81%