Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 73.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.09%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Meizhou Hakka would win this match.