Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.