Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Meizhou Hakka in this match.