Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Jonoon would win this match.