Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.