Chinese Super League | Gameweek 28

Oct 20, 2023 at 12.35pm UK

Shanghai Stadium

Shanghai Port
1 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Lei (89')
Ang (78'), Mirahmetjan (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wang (24'), Abreu (54' pen.)
Ngadeu-Ngadjui (35'), Dabao (36'), Soares (36'), Zhongguo (45+5'), Yennaris (84'), Ang (90+6'), Kang (90+6')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shanghai Port and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shanghai Port

All competitions

Chinese Super League

Last Game: Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Shanghai Port
Friday, September 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-0 Dalian Pro
Saturday, September 30 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Shanghai Port	Draw	Beijing Guoan
50.29% ( 0.27)	23.69% ( -0.08)	26.02% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 57.06% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.72% (

0.2)

44.28% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

0.19)

66.65% (

-0.2)

Shanghai Port Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.32% (

0.18)

17.68% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.68% (

0.31)

48.32% (

-0.31)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31% (

-0.04)

30.68% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

-0.05)

66.94% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Port 50.29%

Beijing Guoan 26.02%

Draw 23.68%

Shanghai Port	Draw	Beijing Guoan
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.29%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.02%