Chinese Super League | Gameweek 23
Aug 19, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 1
Sh. Shenhua

Abreu (28', 37')
Han (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bassogog (14')
Jiang (40'), Cui (55'), Amadou (90+3')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Shenhua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Shanghai Shenhua

All competitions
Last Game: Wuhan TT 1-2 Sh. Shenhua
Sunday, August 13 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 51.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Shenhua
51.12% (-1.307 -1.31)24.92% (0.294 0.29)23.96% (1.011 1.01)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.248 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-0.237 -0.24)51.24% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.207 -0.21)73.07% (0.20699999999999 0.21)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.96% (-0.62 -0.62)20.04% (0.619 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.74% (-1.006 -1.01)52.25% (1.005 1.01)
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (0.798 0.8)36.18% (-0.798 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04% (0.802 0.8)72.96% (-0.80300000000001 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 51.12%
    Shanghai Shenhua 23.96%
    Draw 24.91%
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.2 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.193 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 8
Sh. Shenhua
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Hanchao (18')
Adegbenro (67')
Chengdong (50'), Zhongguo (81')
Nov 25, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 27
Sh. Shenhua
1-2
Beijing Guoan
Wang (7')
Xizhe (54'), Zhang (76')
Aug 26, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Beijing Guoan
0-2
Sh. Shenhua
Hanchao (31'), Bassogog (36' pen.)
Wang (66'), Zhou (68')
Aug 15, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Beijing Guoan
4-2
Sh. Shenhua
Zhang (7', 81'), Xizhe (12' pen.), Jonjic (16' og.)
Sen (45+2'), Dabao (57'), Bakambu (67')
Yunding (45+2'), Hanchao (90+7')
Xi (29'), Aidi (62'), Zhu (90+2')
Apr 23, 2021 1pm
Sh. Shenhua
2-1
Beijing Guoan
Moreno (59'), Xi (65')
N'Doumbou (76'), Hanchao (90+3')
Li (90+1')
Tianyi (33'), Kim (59')
rhs 2.0


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