AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 28, 2023 at 12pm UK

Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
6 - 1
Kaya

Moises (26', 56'), Crysan (49', 68', 89'), Long (61')
Zhengyu (41'), Moises (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gayoso (21')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shandong Taishan and Kaya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Shandong 3-1 Incheon United
Tuesday, November 7 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Kaya

All competitions

Last Game: Kaya 1-2 Yokohama
Tuesday, November 7 at 12pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 69.18%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kaya had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Kaya win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Kaya
69.18% ( -1.54)	18.02% ( 0.61)	12.8% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12% (

-0.44)

38.88% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.81% (

-0.47)

61.19% (

0.47)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83% (

-0.49)

10.17% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.58% (

-1.14)

33.42% (

1.14)

Kaya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.21% (

1.21)

41.79% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.75% (

1.04)

78.25% (

-1.04)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 69.18%

Kaya 12.8%

Draw 18.02%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Kaya
2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 4.59% Total : 69.18%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.02%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.47% Total : 12.8%