AFC Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 11.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Nissan Stadium
  • Kota Mizunuma 35' goal
  • Ken Matsubara 64' yellowcard
  • Kenyu Sugimoto 72' goal
  • Anderson Lopes 90'+5' goal

Yokohama F Marinos vs Kaya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 1.00pm
Shandong 0 - 1 Yokohama

Kaya

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 11.00am
Incheon United 4 - 0 Kaya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Kaya win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result

Yokohama F Marinos 51.74% (-0.31)
Draw 20.3% (+0.06)
Kaya 27.95% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.41% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.7% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 26.29% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 53.41% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 46.58% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 33.94% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 66.05% (+0.08)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5 89.19% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 10.81% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 65.14% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 34.85% (+0.23)

Kaya Goals

Over 0.5 80.06% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 19.94% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 47.91% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 52.09% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 51.74%
Draw 20.3%
Kaya 27.95%
Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 5.14% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 51.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.73% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.93% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.3%
Kaya
1-2 @ 6.23% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.73% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.35% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.8% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.51% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
3-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.95%