Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Kaya win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.