Yokohama F Marinos
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Nissan Stadium

Yokohama
3 - 0
Kaya

Mizunuma (35'), Sugimoto (72'), Lopes (90+5')
Matsubara (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Yokohama F Marinos and Kaya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Consadole
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League

Kaya

All competitions
Last Game: Incheon United 4-0 Kaya
Tuesday, October 3 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Kaya had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.33%). The likeliest Kaya win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F MarinosDrawKaya
51.74% (-0.307 -0.31)20.3% (0.053000000000001 0.05)27.95% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 71.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.7% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)26.29% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.41% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)46.58% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.19% (-0.104 -0.1)10.81% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.14% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)34.85% (0.229 0.23)
Kaya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (0.107 0.11)19.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (0.174 0.17)52.09% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Yokohama F Marinos 51.74%
    Kaya 27.95%
    Draw 20.3%
Yokohama F MarinosDrawKaya
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 7.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.93% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.76% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-0 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.95%