Chinese Super League | Gameweek 30

Nov 4, 2023 at 7.30am UK

Chengdu Sports Center

Shandong
5 - 1
Henan

Lisheng (11', 11'), Jinghang (45+2', 45+2', 46', 46', 53', 53'), Long (69', 69')
Jinghang (33'), Jinghang (33'), Wenneng (37'), Wenneng (37'), Jadson (65'), Jadson (65')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Li (67' pen., 67' pen.)

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shandong Taishan and Henan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

All competitions

Chinese Super League

Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-1 Shandong
Sunday, October 29 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Henan Songshan Longmen

All competitions

Last Game: Henan 1-1 Changchun
Sunday, October 29 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 64.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Shandong Taishan	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
64.61% ( 0.08)	19.56% ( 0.02)	15.84% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.06% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.72% (

-0.25)

39.27% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.39% (

-0.26)

61.61% (

0.27)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.54% (

-0.05)

11.46% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.72% (

-0.11)

36.28% (

0.12)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.19% (

-0.27)

37.81% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.42% (

-0.27)

74.58% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Shandong Taishan 64.6%

Henan Songshan Longmen 15.84%

Draw 19.56%

Shandong Taishan	Draw	Henan Songshan Longmen
2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.6%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.56%	1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 15.84%