Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 36.14%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.13%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.