J1 League | Gameweek 34

Dec 3, 2023 at 5am UK

Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 1
Hiroshima

Miya (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Araki (90+6')
Nakano (28')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 2-3 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
23.16% ( 1.41)	26.01% ( 0.64)	50.83% ( -2.06)

Both teams to score 47% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.9% (

-1.07)

56.1% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.83% (

-0.88)

77.17% (

0.87)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.36% (

0.79)

39.64% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.68% (

0.72)

76.32% (

-0.72)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86% (

-1.31)

22.14% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.48% (

-2.02)

55.52% (

2.01)

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 23.16%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.83%

Draw 26.01%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.16%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.83%