Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.