J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 6am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
3 - 0
FC Tokyo

Wakizaka (34', 34'), Yamada (83', 83'), Tachibanada (90+2', 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kimoto (26'), Kimoto (26')
Hatano (72'), Hatano (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 16 at 4am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawFC Tokyo
45.68% (0.221 0.22)24.85% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)29.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.346 0.35)47.07% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.321 0.32)69.31% (-0.327 -0.33)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.23999999999999 0.24)20.66% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.376 0.38)53.24% (-0.381 -0.38)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.085000000000008 0.09)29.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (0.104 0.1)65.62% (-0.108 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 45.69%
    FC Tokyo 29.47%
    Draw 24.84%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 29.47%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 11am
Gameweek 27
Kawasaki
1-0
FC Tokyo
Marcinho (54')
Ienaga (44')

Higashi (23'), Watanabe (49'), Shirai (66'), Koizumi (73'), Silva (82'), Nakagawa (90+4')
May 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 13
FC Tokyo
2-1
Kawasaki
Tokumoto (12'), Abe (25')
Miyashiro (39')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Gameweek 34
FC Tokyo
2-3
Kawasaki
Feb 18, 2022 10am
Gameweek 1
Kawasaki
1-0
FC Tokyo
Damiao (81')
Kurumaya (53'), Songkrasin (58')

Trevisan (3'), Matsuki (50'), Leandro (84')
Oct 2, 2021 9am
Gameweek 31
Kawasaki
1-0
FC Tokyo
Damiao (45+1')