J1 League | Gameweek 9

Apr 20, 2024 at 6am UK

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
4 - 2
Kashima Antlers

Kawahara (30', 30'), Ryan (45+3', 45+3', 80', 80'), Fukuta (88', 88')
Ryan (38'), Ryan (38'), Nagasawa (59'), Nagasawa (59')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Nono (11', 11'), Suzuki (86' pen., 86' pen.)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 14 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashima Antlers
23.28% ( -2.05)	24.61% ( -1.1)	52.11% ( 3.15)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.37% (

2.59)

50.62% (

-2.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.46% (

2.24)

72.53% (

-2.24)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.54% (

-0.4)

36.46% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

-0.41)

73.24% (

0.41)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

2.35)

19.4% (

-2.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.78% (

3.72)

51.22% (

-3.72)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 23.28%

Kashima Antlers 52.1%

Draw 24.6%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.28%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.77) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.51) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.56) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.35) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.36) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.1%