Mar 16, 2024 6.00am

0

2

HT : 1 0

FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

19'
Yuki Horigome 42'
Yuki Horigome 42'

Vitor Bueno 48'
Vitor Bueno 48'
Masaya Shibayama 64'
Masaya Shibayama 64'
Leo Ceara 80'
Leo Ceara 80'
Masaya Shibayama 86'
Masaya Shibayama 86'

Sagan Tosu vs Cerezo Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

L
W
L
L
D
L

J1 League

L
W
L
L
D
L

Last game

Mar 9, 2024 6.00am

Hiroshima 4 - 0 Sagan Tosu

Goals scored

48

Top scorer

Marcelo Ryan

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

W
D
D
L
L
L

J1 League

W
D
D
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 9, 2024 7.00am

Cerezo 2 - 1 Tokyo Verdy

Goals scored

43

Top scorer

Leo Ceara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result

Sagan Tosu 34.6%

Draw 25.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Cerezo Osaka 39.86% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

55.58% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.65% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 48.34% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 29.51% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 70.49% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 4.5 14.33% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 4.5 85.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 73.1% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 26.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 37.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 62.21% ▼ (-0.03)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 76.03% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 23.97% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 1.5 41.79% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 58.21% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.6%

Draw 25.54%

Cerezo Osaka 39.86%

Sagan Tosu

1-0 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 2.43%

4-1 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.1%

Total : 34.6%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.09%

0-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 0.15%

Total : 25.54%

Cerezo Osaka

0-1 @ 9.21% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.01)

1-4 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)

0-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.91%

Total : 39.86%

Head to Head

Jul 8, 2023 11.30am

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Yuki Horigome 64'
Cayman Togashi 90'+3'

Leo Ceara 13'

Mar 12, 2023 5.00am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Shinji Kagawa 38'
Mutsuki Kato 52'

Fuchi Honda 86'

Sep 10, 2022 11.00am

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Tokuma Suzuki 52'
Jean Patric 90'+3'

Fuchi Honda 82'

May 3, 2022 7.00am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Masaya Tashiro 71'
Naoyuki Fujita 83'

Hiroaki Okuno 52'
Bruno Mendes 73'

Jul 24, 2021 11.00am

3

3

HT : 3 1

FT

Noriyoshi Sakai 1'
Tomoya Koyamatsu 8'
Yuta Higuchi 45'+1'
Nanasei Iino 51'

Mutsuki Kato 18'
Riku Matsuda 65'
Mutsuki Kato 69'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto 87'
Riki Matsuda 90'+5'

Apr 2, 2021 11.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Hiroaki Okuno 46'

Keiya Sento 42'
Hwang Seok-Ho 55'
Hwang Seok-Ho 77'
Dudu 81'

Form Data

Hiroshima 4 - 0 Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu 4 - 0 Consadole

Sagan Tosu 1 - 2 Albirex Niigata

Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 Kawasaki

Reysol 2 - 2 Sagan Tosu

Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 Yokohama FC

Cerezo 2 - 1 Tokyo Verdy

Kashima Antlers 1 - 1 Cerezo

Cerezo 2 - 2 FC Tokyo

Albirex Niigata 1 - 0 Cerezo

Cerezo 0 - 1 Kyoto Sanga

Yokohama 2 - 0 Cerezo