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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 0
Cerezo

Nagakura (87')
Hoshi (24')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
42.14% (0.719 0.72) 24.84% (0.167 0.17) 33.02% (-0.883 -0.88)
Both teams to score 57.57% (-0.854 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (-0.997 -1)45.59% (1.003 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (-0.957 -0.96)67.92% (0.962 0.96)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)21.65% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (-0.132 -0.13)54.77% (0.139 0.14)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-1.007 -1.01)26.53% (1.012 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (-1.357 -1.36)61.73% (1.362 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 42.14%
    Cerezo Osaka 33.02%
    Draw 24.84%
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 42.14%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.242 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo

Albirex Niigata
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Cerezo Osaka
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 5am
Gameweek 1
Cerezo
2-2
Albirex Niigata
Tameda (28'), Okuno (75')
Taniguchi (22'), Chiba (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers137242016423
4FC Tokyo136432420422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Tokyo Verdy133822018217
12Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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