Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Albirex Niigata in this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Albirex Niigata
30.84% ( -0.15)	25.24% ( 0.01)	43.92% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 55.33% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.89% (

-0.12)

48.11% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72% (

-0.11)

70.27% (

0.11)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0.17)

29.17% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

-0.2)

65.1% (

0.2)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

0.01)

21.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

0.02)

55.14% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 30.84%

Albirex Niigata 43.92%

Draw 25.24%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.84%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.92%