J1 League | Gameweek 1
Feb 24, 2024 at 5am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
1 - 2
Albirex Niigata

Fukuta (5', 5')
Harada (90+2'), Harada (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Taniguchi (45+3', 45+3'), Arai (54', 54')
Arai (31'), Arai (31'), Miyamoto (41'), Miyamoto (41')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Cerezo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 33.81% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result
Sagan TosuDrawAlbirex Niigata
33.81% (0.188 0.19)25.98% (0.044 0.04)40.21% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (-0.149 -0.15)50.41% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65% (-0.131 -0.13)72.35% (0.131 0.13)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.046999999999997 0.05)28.37% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.058999999999997 0.06)64.12% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (-0.187 -0.19)24.72% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73% (-0.261 -0.26)59.26% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 33.81%
    Albirex Niigata 40.21%
    Draw 25.98%
Sagan TosuDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.064 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.57% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.81%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.85% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.21%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 5am
Gameweek 30
Albirex Niigata
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (45+4' pen.)
Fitzgerald (63')
Ono (45+5')
May 20, 2023 9am
Gameweek 14
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Albirex Niigata
Ono (11'), Kawata (80' pen.)
Fujita (90+1')

Komi (76')