J1 League | Gameweek 3

Mar 9, 2024 at 6am UK

EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
4 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Shiotani (18', 18'), Kawamura (31', 31'), Soteriou (51' pen., 51' pen.), Nakano (90+6', 90+6')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Tezuka (55'), Tezuka (55'), Togashi (69'), Togashi (69'), Harada (82'), Harada (82')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sagan Tosu

All competitions

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 4-0 Consadole
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
62.55% ( -0)	20.83% ( -0.01)	16.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36% (

0.09)

43.63% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97% (

0.09)

66.03% (

-0.09)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64% (

0.02)

13.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.75% (

0.06)

40.25% (

-0.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.49% (

0.07)

39.5% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.8% (

0.07)

76.19% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.55%

Sagan Tosu 16.61%

Draw 20.83%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 62.55%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.83%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.61%