J1 League Gameweek 3
Hiroshima
Mar 9, 2024 6.00am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT EDION Stadium
Sagan Tosu
  • Tsukasa Shiotani 18' goal
  • Tsukasa Shiotani 18' goal
  • Takumu Kawamura 31' goal
  • Takumu Kawamura 31' goal
  • Pieros Soteriou 51' goal
  • Pieros Soteriou 51' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 90'+6' goal
  • Shuto Nakano 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Kohei Tezuka 55'
  • yellowcard Kohei Tezuka 55'
  • yellowcard Cayman Togashi 69'
  • yellowcard Cayman Togashi 69'
  • yellowcard Wataru Harada 82'
  • yellowcard Wataru Harada 82'

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 6.00am
FC Tokyo 1 - 1 Hiroshima
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 5.00am
Sagan Tosu 4 - 0 Consadole
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marcelo Ryan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 20.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Sagan Tosu 16.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.36% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 43.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 33.97% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 66.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 17.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 82.5% ▼ (-0.07)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 86.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 13.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 59.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 40.25% ▼ (-0.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 39.5% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 76.19% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62.55%
Draw 20.83%
Sagan Tosu 16.61%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0 @ 10.69% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.93% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 62.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 20.83%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.61%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 26
Sagan Tosu
Sep 2, 2023 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Hiroshima
  • goal Pieros Soteriou 3'
  • yellowcard Marcos Junior 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Takumu Kawamura 67'
  • goal Douglas Vieira 79'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Hiroshima
Apr 9, 2023 6.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
Sagan Tosu
  • Douglas Vieira 75' goal
J1 League Gameweek 34
Sagan Tosu
Nov 5, 2022 5.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Hiroshima
  • Taisei Miyashiro 57' goal
  • Hwang Seok-Ho 60' goal
  • goal Sho Sasaki 3'
  • goal Makoto Mitsuta 42'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Hiroshima
Feb 19, 2022 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sagan Tosu
J1 League Gameweek 21
Hiroshima
Jul 3, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Sagan Tosu
  • Junior Santos 62' goal
  • goal Noriyoshi Sakai 90'+1'
J1 League Gameweek 13
Sagan Tosu
May 8, 2021 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hiroshima
  • yellowcard Sho Sasaki 50'

Form Data

FC Tokyo 1 - 1 Hiroshima
Hiroshima 2 - 0 Urawa
Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Hiroshima
Hiroshima 3 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Consadole 0 - 0 Hiroshima
FC Tokyo 1 - 2 Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu 4 - 0 Consadole
Sagan Tosu 1 - 2 Albirex Niigata
Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 Kawasaki
Reysol 2 - 2 Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 Yokohama FC
Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Sagan Tosu