Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2024 at 7am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Sakamoto (45+3', 45+3'), Miura (90+9', 90+9')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Naganuma (41', 41')
Yamazaki (7'), Yamazaki (7'), Togashi (32'), Togashi (32')
Sakaiya (56'), Sakaiya (56')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, April 10 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
48.47% (-0.201 -0.2)25.88% (0.212 0.21)25.65% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.644 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3% (-0.834 -0.83)53.7% (0.834 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (-0.709 -0.71)75.18% (0.708 0.71)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (-0.43600000000001 -0.44)22.17% (0.437 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (-0.661 -0.66)55.57% (0.661 0.66)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)36.05% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.475 -0.47)72.83% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 48.46%
    Sagan Tosu 25.65%
    Draw 25.88%
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.03% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.07% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 48.46%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.258 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.163 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.65%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 11am
Gameweek 25
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Naganuma (61')
Park (90+4')
Yamami (90+6')
Feb 25, 2023 6am
Gameweek 2
Gamba Osaka
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (51')
Kabayama (64')
Sep 3, 2022 11am
Gameweek 28
Gamba Osaka
0-3
Sagan Tosu

Patric (21'), Kyung-won (59')
Nishikawa (15'), Miyashiro (52'), Ono (78')
Seok-Ho (72')
May 29, 2022 9am
Gameweek 16
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Gamba Osaka
Horigome (19'), Seok-Ho (88')
Yamami (58')
Oct 23, 2021 9am
Gameweek 33
Gamba Osaka
1-0
Sagan Tosu