Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.