J1 League | Gameweek 1
Feb 25, 2024 at 5am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Tokyo Verdy
1 - 2
Yokohama

Yamada (7')
Yamada (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopes (89' pen.), Matsubara (90+3')
Popp (3'), Kamijima (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-0 Bangkok Utd
Wednesday, February 21 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawYokohama F Marinos
26.34% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)22.83% (0.129 0.13)50.84% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.468 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.615 -0.62)40.05% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.58% (-0.64 -0.64)62.42% (0.647 0.65)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-0.333 -0.33)28.22% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)63.92% (0.434 0.43)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)15.92% (0.265 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83% (-0.482 -0.48)45.17% (0.488 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 26.34%
    Yokohama F Marinos 50.84%
    Draw 22.82%
Tokyo VerdyDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 26.34%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.128 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.162 0.16)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.88% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.65% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 50.84%