J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 5.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Kazuhiko Chiba 57' goal
  • Kazuhiko Chiba 57' goal
  • Yoshiaki Takagi 63' yellowcard
  • Yoshiaki Takagi 63' yellowcard
  • goal Kosuke Kinoshita 15'
  • goal Kosuke Kinoshita 15'

Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 7.00am
Tokyo Verdy 2 - 2 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 6.00am
Reysol 0 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Kosuke Kinoshita

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 37.5%
Draw 28.36% (+0.13)
Kashiwa Reysol 34.14% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.63% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.36% (-0.48)
Under 2.5 59.64% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 20.04% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 79.96% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 8.36% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 91.64% (+0.21)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 69.37% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 30.62% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 33.13% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 66.87% (+0.28)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 67.22% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 32.78% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 30.66% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 69.34% (+0.37)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 37.5%
Draw 28.35%
Kashiwa Reysol 34.13%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.88% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.03% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 37.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.25% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.03% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 11.19% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.13%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
J1 League Gameweek 12
May 7, 2023 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium