J1 League | Gameweek 4

Mar 16, 2024 at 6am UK

SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
0 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nagai (18', 18'), Chang-Rae (62', 62')
Ha (29'), Chang-Rae (29'), Ha (29'), Chang-Rae (29'), Kubo (37'), Kubo (37'), Mikuni (45+2'), Mikuni (45+2')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
35.38% ( -0.02)	28.49% ( -0)	36.13% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.34% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.96% (

0.02)

60.04% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.73% (

0.01)

80.27% (

-0.01)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.83% (

-0)

32.17% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.34% (

-0)

68.66% (

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

0.02)

31.68% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

0.03)

68.1% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 35.37%

Nagoya Grampus 36.13%

Draw 28.48%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.37%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.48%	0-1 @ 11.71% 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.13%