Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 25.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.