Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.