Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.