Club World Cup
Dec 22, 2023 2.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
  • Jose Kante 43' goal
  • Alexander Scholz 54' goal
  • Bryan Linssen 55' yellowcard
  • Jose Kante 75' yellowcard
  • goal Yasser Ibrahim 19'
  • goal Percy Tau 25'
  • goal Yoshio Koizumi 60' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ramy Rabia 90'+5'
  • goal Ali Maaloul 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Ali Maaloul 90'+9'

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Al Ahly - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions

Al Ahly

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result

Urawa Red Diamonds 36.65% (-0.04)
Draw 25.81% (-0.02)
Al Ahly 37.54% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.88% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.64% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 49.35% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 28.6% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 71.4% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.71% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.29% (-0.04)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5 73.83% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.17% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.75% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.25% (-0.01)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5 74.33% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.67% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.42% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 60.58% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 36.65%
Draw 25.81%
Al Ahly 37.54%
Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.81%
Al Ahly
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.33% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.21% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 37.54%