Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Al Ahly
36.65% ( -0.03)	25.81% ( -0.01)	37.54% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.88% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.64% (

0.05)

49.35% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

0.04)

71.4% (

-0.05)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

26.17% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

61.25% (

-0.01)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33% (

0.05)

25.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42% (

0.07)

60.58% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 36.65%

Al Ahly 37.54%

Draw 25.81%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Al Ahly
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.65%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.54%