Club World Cup
Dec 18, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Martinelli 45' yellowcard
  • Jhon Arias 71' goal
  • John Kennedy 90' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Abdelmonem 69'

Fluminense vs Al Ahly - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions

Al Ahly

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result

Fluminense 54.62%
Draw 22.97%
Al Ahly 22.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.34%

Goals

Over 2.5 55.37%
Under 2.5 44.63%
Over 3.5 33.01%
Under 3.5 66.99%
Over 4.5 16.8%
Under 4.5 83.2%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 83.76%
Under 0.5 16.24%
Over 1.5 54.24%
Under 1.5 45.75%

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5 66.07%
Under 0.5 33.93%
Over 1.5 29.39%
Under 1.5 70.6%

Score analysis

Fluminense 54.62%
Draw 22.96%
Al Ahly 22.41%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 5.96%
3-0 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 54.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 5.51%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.96%
Al Ahly
0-1 @ 5.96%
1-2 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 22.41%