Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Al Ahly
54.62%	22.97%	22.41%

Both teams to score 55.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.37%

44.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.01%

66.99%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76%

16.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24%

45.75%

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07%

33.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39%

70.6%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 54.62%

Al Ahly 22.41%

Draw 22.96%

Fluminense	Draw	Al Ahly
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.39% Total : 54.62%	1-1 @ 10.82% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 5.96% 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.41%