J1 League | Gameweek 13

May 11, 2024 at 9am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
3 - 3
Reysol

Nakagawa (6'), Oliveira (32' pen.), Matsuki (37')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Savio (2'), Inukai (46'), Shimamura (58')
Diego (30'), Sekine (45+1'), Savio (62')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: Consadole 1-2 FC Tokyo
Monday, May 6 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Reysol 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Monday, May 6 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
36.01% ( -0.07)	27.96% ( 0)	36.02% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.88% (

-0.01)

58.11% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.22% (

-0.01)

78.77% (

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

-0.05)

30.78% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94% (

-0.06)

67.05% (

0.05)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

0.03)

30.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95% (

0.04)

67.04% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 36.01%

Kashiwa Reysol 36.01%

Draw 27.96%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.01%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.01%