Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.