Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.