Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.