Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.