J1 League Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 7.00am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Kashifu Bangunagande 4' goal
  • Kashifu Bangunagande 4' goal
  • Kei Koizumi 19' yellowcard
  • Kei Koizumi 19' yellowcard
  • Diego Oliveira 21' goal
  • Diego Oliveira 21' goal
  • Teppei Oka 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Teppei Oka 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuta Toyokawa 9'
  • yellowcard Yuta Toyokawa 9'
  • yellowcard Kwi-Jea Cho 10'
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 56'
  • yellowcard Kyo Sato 56'
  • yellowcard Taiki Hirato 63'
  • yellowcard Taiki Hirato 63'
  • goal Sora Hiraga 79'
  • goal Sora Hiraga 79'

FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 6.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 3 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ryotaro Araki

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 6.00am
Vissel Kobe 0 - 1 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rafael Elias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result

FC Tokyo 42.94% (-0.58)
Draw 25.96% (-0.02)
Kyoto Sanga 31.1% (+0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.93% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 51.06% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 27.08% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 72.92% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 12.7% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 87.3% (-0.18)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 76.37% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 23.62% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 42.29% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 57.71% (+0.22)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 69.52% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 30.47% (-0.57)
Over 1.5 33.31% (+0.66)
Under 1.5 66.69% (-0.67)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 42.93%
Draw 25.95%
Kyoto Sanga 31.1%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.61% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.29% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-97.70)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.95%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 8.55% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.33% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 5.08% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.91% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.01% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.1%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 23
Aug 12, 2023 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Henrique Trevisan 25' yellowcard
  • Ryoma Watanabe 36' goal
  • Keigo Higashi 58' goal
  • yellowcard Daiki Kaneko 45'+2'
J1 League Gameweek 3
Mar 4, 2023 5.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
  • Sota Kawasaki 75' goal
  • Patric 90'+1' goal
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 18, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leandro 28' goal
  • Adailton 78' goal
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 19, 2022 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hisashi Appiah Tawiah 35' yellowcard
  • Daiki Kaneko 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryoya Ogawa 19'
  • goal Diego Oliveira 68'
  • yellowcard Takuya Aoki 74'