Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Albirex Niigata in this match.