J1 League Gameweek 6
Apr 3, 2024 11.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Yamaha Stadium
  • Ryo Germain 67' yellowcard
  • Ryo Germain 75' goal
  • Ryo Germain 79' goal
  • yellowcard Yota Komi 7'
  • yellowcard Yuji Hoshi 44'

Jubilo Iwata vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 6.00am
Kashima Antlers 1 - 0 Jubilo Iwata
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ryo Germain

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2024 5.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Reysol
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result

Jubilo Iwata 41.94% (-0.07)
Draw 25.85% (-0.02)
Albirex Niigata 32.22% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.9% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.77% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 50.23% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 27.81% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 72.18% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.19% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.81% (-0.07)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 76.24% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.75% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.1% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.9% (-0.03)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 70.69% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 29.31% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 34.72% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 65.28% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Jubilo Iwata 41.93%
Draw 25.85%
Albirex Niigata 32.22%
Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 10% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 41.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 32.22%