Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.