J1 League | Gameweek 10

Apr 27, 2024 at 6am UK

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
FC Tokyo

Hayakawa (90', 90')
Miyamoto (26'), Miyamoto (26'), Chiba (34'), Chiba (34'), Ota (82'), Ota (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Nakagawa (39', 39'), Shirai (49', 49'), Oliveira (62', 62')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	FC Tokyo
35.86% ( -0.09)	26.94% ( 0.03)	37.2% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.1% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

-0.11)

54.13% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.45% (

-0.1)

75.54% (

0.09)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

-0.11)

28.91% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

-0.14)

64.79% (

0.14)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89% (

-0.02)

28.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

-0.02)

63.78% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 35.86%

FC Tokyo 37.19%

Draw 26.93%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.86%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.19%