Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.