J1 League | Gameweek 6

Apr 3, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Sapporo Dome

Consadole
1 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Baba (30')
Arano (26'), Suga (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Morishima (55'), Nagai (90')
Yoshida (37'), Mikuni (90+5')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Consadole Sapporo

All competitions

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 6-1 Consadole
Saturday, March 30 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Yokohama
Saturday, March 30 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
40.09% ( 0.46)	26.34% ( -0.41)	33.56% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04% (

1.69)

51.95% (

-1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3% (

1.44)

73.7% (

-1.44)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52% (

1.03)

25.48% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68% (

1.38)

60.31% (

-1.38)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

0.81)

29.28% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

0.99)

65.25% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Consadole Sapporo 40.09%

Nagoya Grampus 33.56%

Draw 26.33%

Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.09%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.56%