Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
29.53% ( -0.21)	24.13% ( -0.05)	46.34% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 58.35% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.17% (

0.1)

43.83% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

0.1)

66.21% (

-0.1)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

-0.09)

27.9% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

-0.12)

63.52% (

0.12)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.93% (

0.15)

19.07% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.33% (

0.24)

50.67% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 29.53%

Yokohama F Marinos 46.34%

Draw 24.12%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.53%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 46.34%