AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2024 at 10am UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Shandong
1 - 2
Yokohama

Chen (90+1')
Xinli (51'), Jadson (57'), Yuanyi (64'), Zhunyi (64'), Kang-Hee (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopes (7'), Yan (69')
Watanabe (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's AFC Champions League clash between Shandong Taishan and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 4-2 Changchun
Friday, March 1 at 10am in Chinese Super League

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawYokohama F Marinos
42.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.79% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)35.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 65.75% (0.12400000000001 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.84% (0.16 0.16)35.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.83% (0.17899999999999 0.18)57.16% (-0.179 -0.18)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (0.067000000000007 0.07)17.33% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.29% (0.119 0.12)47.71% (-0.119 -0.12)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.084000000000003 0.08)20.46% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (0.136 0.14)52.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 42.07%
    Yokohama F Marinos 35.13%
    Draw 22.79%
Shandong TaishanDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 35.13%

How you voted: Shandong vs Yokohama

Shandong Taishan
59.5%
Draw
16.2%
Yokohama F Marinos
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 8am
Group Stage
Yokohama
3-0
Shandong
Elber (45+4'), Lopes (57'), Yan (64')

Yuanyi (12'), Chen (20'), Jadson (42'), Wenneng (62')
Oct 3, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Shandong
0-1
Yokohama

Wang (40')
Mizunuma (37')
Kamijima (64')