Yokohama F Marinos
AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 10am UK
Nissan Stadium

Yokohama
1 - 0
Shandong

Lopes (75')
Kida (30'), Nagato (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandinho (23'), Yang (38'), Bi (71')
Zhunyi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's AFC Champions League clash between Yokohama F Marinos and Shandong Taishan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 1-2 Yokohama
Wednesday, March 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Shandong Taishan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 0-0 Beijing Guoan
Saturday, March 9 at 11.35am in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 54.55%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F MarinosDrawShandong Taishan
54.55% (-0.308 -0.31)21.5% (0.14 0.14)23.95% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 62.49% (-0.315 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (-0.5 -0.5)36.09% (0.498 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (-0.552 -0.55)58.19% (0.549 0.55)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)13.31% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84% (-0.529 -0.53)40.15% (0.525 0.52)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.148 -0.15)27.9% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.185 -0.18)63.52% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Yokohama F Marinos 54.55%
    Shandong Taishan 23.95%
    Draw 21.5%
Yokohama F MarinosDrawShandong Taishan
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 54.55%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 23.95%

How you voted: Yokohama vs Shandong

Yokohama F Marinos
66.7%
Draw
19.0%
Shandong Taishan
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 10am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Shandong
1-2
Yokohama
Chen (90+1')
Xinli (51'), Jadson (57'), Yuanyi (64'), Zhunyi (64'), Kang-Hee (90+4')
Lopes (7'), Yan (69')
Watanabe (52')
> Preview
Dec 13, 2023 8am
Group Stage
Yokohama
3-0
Shandong
Elber (45+4'), Lopes (57'), Yan (64')

Yuanyi (12'), Chen (20'), Jadson (42'), Wenneng (62')
Oct 3, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Shandong
0-1
Yokohama

Wang (40')
Mizunuma (37')
Kamijima (64')