Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.