Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 89.21%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 3.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (10.35%) and 0-2 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.