J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 8am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Fukuda (25'), Abe (46')
Min-tae (36'), Ohno (45+4'), Suzuki (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Togashi (13')
Harada (70'), Higashi (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Shonan Bellmare
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Tokyo Verdy
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
40.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.51%34.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 55.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.7% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)48.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 40.4%
    Sagan Tosu 34.09%
    Draw 25.5%
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.4%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head
Jun 24, 2023 11am
Gameweek 18
Shonan Bellmare
0-6
Sagan Tosu
Ono (2', 30', 49'), Horigome (63'), Fujiwara (86'), Kabayama (90+3')
Narahara (72'), Horigome (74')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 1
Sagan Tosu
1-5
Shonan Bellmare
Ono (45+9')
Ohashi (3', 36', 60'), Hiraoka (45+5'), Onose (64')
Oct 29, 2022 7am
Gameweek 33
Shonan Bellmare
3-0
Sagan Tosu
Machino (7', 21'), Yamamoto (78')
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Gameweek 2
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Oct 16, 2021 6am
Gameweek 32
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Sakai (73')
Machino (19')