Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 16, 2024 at 10am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
Reysol

Usami (15'), Yamada (26')
Handa (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Diego (80')
Takamine (69'), Shimamura (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 1 at 7am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 2 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
44.87% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)26.01% (-0.029 -0.03)29.11% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.9% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (0.154 0.15)52.14% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (0.132 0.13)73.86% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04)23.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.057000000000002 0.06)57.03% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (0.14400000000001 0.14)32.45% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (0.164 0.16)68.97% (-0.16600000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 44.87%
    Kashiwa Reysol 29.11%
    Draw 26.01%
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.11%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Reysol

Gamba Osaka
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Kashiwa Reysol
0.0%
6
Head to Head
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Hosoya (21')
Takamine (90+9')
Shiihashi (65')
> Preview
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Kamiya (86')